Fearless Prediction
Higher
Education Goes Straight To Dell
Carnegie... Vanderbilt...
Dell...?
Will the computer-marketing maestro from
Texas be the next mogul to create a
university? We at Más
Kapital think so... and in a style oh so Dell. In other words: a
university so efficient and inexpensive, it will knock the
established players flat on their well-endowed
fundaments.
Where the hell did we get
this wacko prognostication? Let's rewind to a certain lecture at a
certain L.A.-based university in late
2004...
An American professor who was an "expert"
in offshoring labor was extolling the virtues of sending American
jobs to India. Something about pain now, gain later.
But then a certain editor of a certain satirical magazine asked the
strutting academic, "What
about all the American workers who can't adapt to losing their
jobs—who are too old or too indebted to go back to school or learn
new skills? What happens to them and their
families?"
The professor patted his nice cushy
tenured position and replied, "That's their problem. They should
have planned ahead. Let them eat cake." Okay, he didn't say the cake
bit, but the sentiment was there.
The editor didn't respond, but quietly
thought, why not outsource
professorships? Several of the school's best professors were
Indian. And since labor is the largest single cost for most
universities—and a key reason why tuition is outpacing inflation
faster than Congress can say "regulation"—why not ship the teaching
function to India? We could set up an online-education system not
unlike the University of Phoenix...
Oh, wait, we hear you laughing out there.
The University of Phoenix—the K-Mart of higher education. But
before you turn to the next article, consider these numbers, you
freaking elitists:
For-profit education is a
multi-billion-dollar business growing faster than the ego of a
just-hired junior prof.
The University of Phoenix served 228,000 students in 2004, and
reported net income of nearly $140 million. Its parent company, The
Apollo Group (which owns several for-profit academic institutions),
has a market cap of $13 billion and a P/E of 72. By contrast, Dell—a
much larger company—has a P/E of just 32. So if Dell were to get
into this for-profit education game... you do the
math.
Now let's look at Dell. Business ain't too shabby in Round Rock,
TX. However, shareholders want growth, growth, and while you're at
it, how about a little more growth there, buddy? But how long can
you sustain double-digit growth by selling computers (an
increasingly commoditized product) on the cheap? Perfect efficiency will get
you only so far, and Dell knows this, so they're expanding big time
into consumer electronics. But those, too, can become commoditized,
and they bring Dell head-on with that other behemoth of efficiency,
Wal-Mart. Meanwhile, the company that Dell drove out of hardware,
IBM, decided there's much more profit potential in services. So
guess what? Dell is also offering "solutions" (i.e. "Consultants!
Get your fresh hot consultants here!").
But that's not all.
A stroll through Dell's website reveals
other tasty morsels, including the fact that Dell is already selling
education. LearnDell.com offers training and certification in
everything from Digital Photography (course price $19.95) to
Financial Management ($773.95), from Project
Management Institute Certification ($1,099.95) to Negotiation Skills
($386.95). Some courses are Dell-led, others outsourced. The point:
it's already happening.
A little more strolling
uncovers this factoid: Michael Dell is currently
serving on the governing board of the
Indian School of Business in
Hyderabad,
India. Low-cost professors,
tech savvy country, hmmm... and isn't the school's name just a
little too generic? How about a new name, something that rhymes with
"swell"? And who is ideally equipped to rename that school and get
it entirely online and ready to roll?
Forget that $60,000
MBA—dude, you're getting a
Dell!
Now the problem any new
university faces is credibility—note the derisive chuckles when we
mentioned "University of
Phoenix." A school can get
accredited by an entire pantheon of Greek gods, but it takes
decades, even centuries, to build academic respectability, and even
then it can be hard to maintain a Top 20 ranking. But what if your
school is branded by a multinational mega-corp run by a billionaire
who enjoys name recognition on six continents? (The penguins are
still kind of in the dark.)
Now imagine you're
thumbing through resumes to hire an IT Director. You find one guy
trained by the flaming bird (the
"Phoenix" for you mythologically
challenged), and the other is trained by Dell. All other things
being equal, whom do you hire? No, you have to pick one—you can't
outsource the job. Yet...
Welcome to Century 21.1,
where even academia isn't safe from the scourge of offshoring. If you're an untenured
professor, better start publishing and playing politics. Dr.
Habib in Hyderabad has an online account
all ready to fire up... [$]
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