Surreal Estate I
Till Debt Do They
Part
WARNING:
HARDCORE CYNICISM AHEAD...
Can't wait for the real estate market to crash? Más Kapital has a cultural
trend that'll make your mouth
water...
According to the National
Association of Realtors, for the first half of 2004,
unmarried couples made 9% of all
U.S.
residential property purchases.
And that number is growing.
Wax romantic all you want, but we realists
note that 50% of all
marriages end in divorce, so we don't see a whole lotta future
in unwed investments. What's that mean for you prospective buyers?
Killer opportunities...
If
you see an unmarried couple buying a house, just wait for that
inevitable split.
With rents lagging mortgages in most big cities, and personal debt
at an all-time high, the couple will likely be forced to sell. Now,
if the real estate market is growing irrationally, as in
L.A.,
the couple might get a good deal; but should the market start to
plateau or dive, as in Las
Vegas,
get ready to eat!
And
don't just vulture over unmarried couples—keep that great American
divorce rate in mind,
along with the fact that the average time between marriage and
divorce is eight years (even less in
Hollywood,
surprise, surprise).
And if a couple has a kid, your odds of
scoring a deal are even higher. Why? According to The Two-Income Trap: Why Middle-Class Parents Are Going
Broke by Harvard Professor Elizabeth Warren
and daughter Amelia Warren Tyagi, one in seven families with kids
will go bankrupt by the end of the decade. Says Amelia, "Having
a child is now the single best predictor of bankruptcy." The reason?
Both incomes are being committed to big purchases—like houses,
second cars, child care, health insurance—so they save less, and if
one spouse loses his/her job, the other one is already working and
can't make up the slack.
And
again, that means opportunity for you.
Yeah, it sounds heartless, but let Dr. Phil fix family values—you're
in business... [$]
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